Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001463 0.001552 0.001645 0.001747 0.001858 0.001974 0.002104
2025-02-16 0.001368 0.001499 0.001640 0.001803 0.001987 0.002188 0.002425
2025-02-23 0.001265 0.001420 0.001592 0.001796 0.002034 0.002304 0.002635
2025-03-02 0.001164 0.001331 0.001520 0.001750 0.002027 0.002349 0.002756
2025-03-09 0.001088 0.001264 0.001467 0.001720 0.002030 0.002401 0.002882
2025-03-16 0.001038 0.001223 0.001440 0.001717 0.002063 0.002486 0.003050
2025-03-23 0.000987 0.001177 0.001404 0.001698 0.002073 0.002542 0.003180
2025-03-30 0.000947 0.001143 0.001380 0.001691 0.002096 0.002611 0.003329
2025-04-06 0.000904 0.001101 0.001344 0.001668 0.002095 0.002648 0.003434
2025-04-13 0.000863 0.001061 0.001308 0.001641 0.002087 0.002674 0.003524
2025-04-20 0.000812 0.001007 0.001251 0.001585 0.002037 0.002640 0.003527
2025-04-27 0.000796 0.000996 0.001249 0.001600 0.002083 0.002738 0.003720
2025-05-04 0.000777 0.000982 0.001246 0.001617 0.002137 0.002855 0.003958
2025-05-11 0.000774 0.000990 0.001271 0.001674 0.002249 0.003062 0.004342
2025-05-18 0.000748 0.000966 0.001253 0.001669 0.002273 0.003142 0.004540
2025-05-25 0.000712 0.000925 0.001210 0.001628 0.002242 0.003139 0.004608
2025-06-01 0.000682 0.000893 0.001178 0.001600 0.002228 0.003160 0.004714
2025-06-08 0.000663 0.000875 0.001164 0.001597 0.002251 0.003237 0.004914
2025-06-15 0.000641 0.000852 0.001141 0.001581 0.002252 0.003279 0.005059
2025-06-22 0.000623 0.000834 0.001126 0.001574 0.002268 0.003346 0.005247
2025-06-29 0.000601 0.000810 0.001102 0.001553 0.002259 0.003371 0.005366
2025-07-06 0.000580 0.000786 0.001076 0.001528 0.002244 0.003385 0.005464
2025-07-13 0.000552 0.000751 0.001033 0.001477 0.002183 0.003322 0.005420